Bank of Canada lowers key interest rate to 4.5%, delivering back-to-back cuts
July 26, 2024
The Bank of Canada has recently reduced its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.5%, as announced in its July 2024 meeting. This decision follows a previous rate cut in June, marking the second consecutive reduction in response to easing inflation pressures. Governor Tiff Macklem indicated during a news conference that further rate cuts are likely if inflation continues to decrease in line with the central bank's forecasts.
The latest cut was anticipated by many economists, given that inflation had shown signs of easing in June. This reduction brings the key interest rate down from its previous level of 4.75%, where it had been since July 2023. The Bank of Canada embarked on a cycle of aggressive rate hikes starting in April 2022 to combat high inflation, but recent economic data suggest that some of these measures can be rolled back without risking price stability.
Economists are divided on the future path of interest rates. Some believe the Bank of Canada might continue cutting rates in upcoming meetings if inflation remains under control, while others caution that premature easing could undermine the central bank's credibility. The Governing Council's decision was influenced by factors such as excess supply in the economy and a moderating labor market, which have helped to slow inflation. The bank expects consumer price index (CPI) inflation to stabilize at around 2% by 2025.
This policy adjustment is also expected to provide relief to mortgage holders and small business owners, who have been grappling with high borrowing costs. The central bank's decision to telegraph potential future rate cuts underscores an optimistic outlook on economic growth, despite the persistent risks and uncertainties.
For home buyers, the reduction in interest rates translates into lower borrowing costs, making mortgages more affordable. This can lead to lower monthly mortgage payments, enabling more people to enter the housing market. Lower interest rates also increase the purchasing power of buyers, allowing them to afford more expensive homes than they could at higher interest rates.
The pre-construction market stands to benefit significantly from this development. With lower interest rates, developers may see increased demand for new homes as buyers are more willing and able to invest in properties that are still under construction. This surge in demand can lead to more pre-construction sales, which provide developers with the necessary capital to complete projects. Additionally, lower borrowing costs can reduce the overall financing expenses for developers, potentially leading to lower prices for buyers.
Furthermore, the anticipation of continued rate cuts can spur both buyers and developers to act quickly. Buyers might be motivated to secure loans before any potential rate hikes in the future, while developers might expedite projects to capitalize on the favorable borrowing conditions. Overall, the Bank of Canada's rate cut presents a positive outlook for the housing market, particularly for home buyers and the pre-construction sector, by making home ownership more accessible and stimulating economic activity in the real estate market.